Trouble For Obama Campaign
#1
Posted 02 June 2012 - 12:02 PM
- Winchester, Lil Red and ardillacid gave this props
#2
Posted 02 June 2012 - 12:46 PM
#3
Posted 02 June 2012 - 12:48 PM
I WANNA PROP THIS!!!!!!!!!!!!The lack of a great slogan is the least of the president's problems heading into this campaign
- Clare~Therese gave this props
#4
Posted 02 June 2012 - 01:33 PM
#5
Posted 02 June 2012 - 02:12 PM
- ardillacid, Jesus_lol, rizz_loves_jesus and 3 others gave this props
#6
Posted 02 June 2012 - 02:13 PM
#7
Posted 02 June 2012 - 06:42 PM
#8
Posted 02 June 2012 - 09:30 PM
#9
Posted 03 June 2012 - 07:16 AM
The lack of a great slogan is the least of the president's problems heading into this campaign
Obama has a good shot yes, but history is not on his side. When economic conditions are like this there is usually a change in party. Also it still hinges on how things are in November and the results of a couple of Supreme Court cases. It's hardly a predictable election. Plus the VP choice could also have an effect. Many variables at play.
#10
Posted 03 June 2012 - 09:49 AM
Plus the VP choice could also have an effect. Many variables at play.
There have been many studies done on this topic, and let me tell you--beyond a short term "bump," there hasn't been a single quantitatively verified case of a VP putting any presidential candidate over the hump. Turns out that the guessing game we do leading up to this announcement every cycle is just that--a game, a media ploy intended to drive up ratings and fill the narrative void in the period of time after the primaries and before the conventions.
#11
Posted 03 June 2012 - 10:01 AM
There have been many studies done on this topic, and let me tell you--beyond a short term "bump," there hasn't been a single quantitatively verified case of a VP putting any presidential candidate over the hump. Turns out that the guessing game we do leading up to this announcement every cycle is just that--a game, a media ploy intended to drive up ratings and fill the narrative void in the period of time after the primaries and before the conventions.
Totally agree. BUT if say you have a well liked politician from Florida (Rubio) in a swing state that COULD give enough push to win the electoral votes. Popular votes I will agree with you that the studies show a VP has little effect BUT if the VP is from a swing state which is within a couple of points to begin with it could indeed have an effect.
But yea everything you hear now is pure speculation. We won't know anything until the presidential debates start and even then we won't know much until we see how the economic conditions, etc. are in November. I am as sick as anyone else of what politics has become in this country which is why I am likely to vote third party (pending on what Paul does or who he endorses, etc.)
#12
Posted 03 June 2012 - 10:06 AM
There have been many studies done on this topic, and let me tell you--beyond a short term "bump," there hasn't been a single quantitatively verified case of a VP putting any presidential candidate over the hump. Turns out that the guessing game we do leading up to this announcement every cycle is just that--a game, a media ploy intended to drive up ratings and fill the narrative void in the period of time after the primaries and before the conventions.
on the other hand, its pretty easy to make a case for Sarah Palin losing the election for McCain
- LaPetiteSoeur and Amppax gave this props









